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The Fed, Trump, and a crumbling trust premium — the dollar’s perfect storm

There are more articles about dollar dominance right now than there are buyers of it. Everyone has a take. Most of them are either panicking or dismissing. Here’s what’s actually happening. The numbers don’t lie, but they don’t tell the whole story either The DXY index sits at roughly 98 as of mid-April 2026, down

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Pound ticks up as UK data shows strong pre-war growth

Sterling rose modestly on Thursday after stronger-than-expected UK economic data lifted sentiment, while markets also tracked developments around a potential peace deal linked to the US-Iran conflict. The pound was last up 0.1% at $1.3575. Against the British currency, the euro slipped 0.1% to 86.94 pence. UK growth beats expectations Britain’s economy expanded more sharply

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US dollar slides to 6-week low as Iran talks hopes spark risk rally

The dollar retreated on Wednesday and hovered near six-week lows, giving back most of the gains built up since the outbreak of war in the Middle East, as renewed hopes for diplomacy between Washington and Iran improved appetite for risk. The move came as investors responded to signs that talks could resume in Pakistan within

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Can sterling hold gains as war risks hit UK economy?

The British pound took a breather on Wednesday after its longest winning streak in a year, slipping against the US dollar as improving sentiment around a possible resolution to the Iran war weighed on the safe-haven greenback. The dollar had fallen to six-week lows as investor optimism picked up, prompting some cooling in sterling’s recent

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Pound climbs to pre-war levels as Iran talks boost markets

The British pound strengthened against the US dollar on Tuesday, reaching levels last seen before the Iran conflict, as investors grew hopeful about a potential resolution to tensions. Sterling rose 0.33% to $1.3548, marking a return to levels recorded just before the conflict escalated in late February. Against the euro, the pound remained largely unchanged

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Pound weakens amid geopolitical tensions and energy price surge

The British pound declined against a broadly stronger US dollar on Monday as escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran  heightened market uncertainty. The move followed the breakdown of talks between Washington and Tehran, with US President Donald Trump announcing that the US Navy would begin blockading the Strait of Hormuz. The decision

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Why does HSBC expect the dollar to weaken despite gains?

The US dollar moved higher on Monday after weekend talks between Washington and Tehran failed to produce an agreement to end the ongoing conflict. According to CNBC, the greenback gained 0.3% against the euro, trading at $1.169, and rose 0.25% against the British pound to $1.342. The uptick in the currency came after peace negotiations

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USD/ZAR forecast: South African rand surges as rising wedge activates

The South African rand has staged a strong comeback this week after the US and Iran’s ceasefire agreement that may ultimately lead to lower oil prices in the country. The USD/ZAR exchange rate plunged to 16.40, down sharply from the year-to-date high of 17.23. South African rand gained ahead of ceasefire talks  The South African

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Here’s why the Nigerian naira is gaining against the US dollar

The Nigerian naira has done relatively well this year, despite the recent sell-off in emerging markets currencies amid the US war against Iran. The USD/NGN exchange rate dropped to 1,358 on April 10, down by 20% from its highest point in 2024.   Why the Nigerian naira has soared There are at least three main reasons

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Pound dips but heads for best week since January

The British pound edged lower on Friday but remained on track for its strongest weekly performance in three months, supported by easing geopolitical tensions following a US-Iran ceasefire agreement. Sterling slipped 0.15% to $1.342 during the session. Despite the modest decline, the currency was set to post a weekly gain of 1.7%, marking its biggest

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